量和成本的判断.docx
量和成本的判断马上改变你的投资业绩STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;WorD-WrAp:normal;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;BorDer-riGHT:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;WorD-WrAp:normal;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;BorDer-riGHT:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px">在与股民的交流中发现股民的常见亏损模式如上，总是在重复这种亏损模式。不是个案，而是诸多事件，为此，我建议投资者采取以下对策，即刻改变投资业绩。STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;WorD-WrAp:normal;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;BorDer-riGHT:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;WorD-WrAp:normal;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;BorDer-riGHT:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;WorD-WrAp:normal;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;BorDer-riGHT:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">量和成本的判断STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">看一个股能不能有后续行情,要看前高的量.如果前高量大,阻力就大,如果前面有数个大量高点阻力就更大,因为前高量大跌下来,这些量就是套牢盘,需要时间和量能才能突破.我们看002025,前高的大量在08年9月22日,应该已经消化;再往前就是7月下旬了,那里于现在有一段距离,因此我判断002025到那里行情基本结束,因为那里量太大,也因此,025的上升目标应该在10元.STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">600421.做ST股关键一要盘断有没有主力,二要判断主力成本.一般做ST的上升目标在50%-100%.421是有主力的,判断的依据就是09年1月9日和12日的量,这是公司宣布重组失败后复牌放出的量.这种量有二个可能,一是出货,二是进货.如果是出货,股价会下跌,但它后面的走势告诉我们这是进货,那么主力成本就应该是放大量的2天平均价,在2.5元左右.按50%计算,上升目标在3.75元.按100%计算,目标在5元.因此目前价位进去机会就存在了.STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">600300放量突破,这个突破很重要,因为前面高点放量处是08年9月24(对应大量),如果突破能站住,下一目标就是8元.STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">日线指标进入多头排列，越涨量越缩，说明主力筹码高度锁定，市场惜售，反过来说，如果一只短期上涨迅猛的个股，总是频繁放量，价格却不见上升，则应该警惕主力对敲逃跑。STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">STYLE="BorDer-BoTToM:0px;TexT-ALiGn:left;BorDer-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-BoTToM:0px;Line-HeiGHT:21px;WiDoWs:2;TexT-TrAnsForM:none;BACKGroUnD-CoLor:rgb(127,163,206);LisT-sTYLe-TYpe:none;FonT-sTYLe:normal;TexT-inDenT:0px;MArGin:0px0px5px;pADDinG-LeFT:0px;pADDinG-riGHT:0px;FonT-FAMiLY:'MicrosoftYaHei','Helveticaneue',simsun;WorD-WrAp:normal;WHiTe-spACe:normal;orpHAns:2;LeTTer-spACinG:normal;CoLor:rgb(50,62,50);FonT-siZe:14px;WorD-BreAK:normal;BorDer-Top:0px;FonT-WeiGHT:normal;BorDer-riGHT:0px;WorD-spACinG:0px;pADDinG-Top:0px;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px">
