美国大学生数学建模比赛的论文资料格式.doc

.- Contents Ⅰ Introduction……………………………………………………………………….1 1.1 Problem Background………………………………………………...1 1.2 Previous Research…………………………………………………...2 1.3 Our Work………………………………………………………….....2 Ⅱ General Assumptions.............................................................................................3 Ⅲ Notations and Symbol Description……………………………………………..3 3.1 Notations…………………………………………………………….4 3.2 Symbol Description………………………………………………….4 Ⅳ Spread of Ebola………………………………………………………………….5 4.1 Traditional Epidemic Model…………………………………………5 4.1.1.The SEIR Model……………………………………………………..5 4.1.2………………………………………………………………………..6 4.1.3………………………………………………………………………..6 4.2 Improved Model……………………………………………………..7 4.2.1.The SEIHCR Model…………………………………………………8 4.2.2………………………………………………………………………..9 Ⅴ Pharmaceutical Intervention……………………………………………………9 5.1 Total Quantity of the Medicine…………………………………….10 5.1.1.Results from WHO Statistics………………………………………10 5.1.2.Results from SEIHCR Model……………………………………....11 5.2 Delivery System……………………………………………………12 5.2.1.Locations of Delivery………………………………………………13 5.2.2………………………………………………………………………14 5.3 Speed of Manufacturing……………………………………………15 Ⅵ Other Important Interventions.........................................................................16 6.1 Safer Treatment of Corpses………………………………………...17 6.2 Conclusion………………………………………………………….18 Ⅶ Control and Eradication of Ebola…………………………………………….19 7.1 How Ebola Can Be Controlled……………………………………..20 7.2 When Ebola Will Be Eradicated……………………………………21 Ⅷ Sensitivity Analysis……………………………………………………………22 8.1 Impact of Transmission Rate……………………………………….23 8.2 Impact of the Incubation Priod……………………………………..24 Ⅸ Strengths and Weaknesses…………………………………………………….25 9.1 Strengths…………………………………………………………..26 9.2 Weaknesses………………………………………………………..27 9.3 Future Work……………………………………………………….28 Letter to the World Medical Association………………………………………......30 References…………………………………………………………………………...31 Ⅰ Introduction 1.1. Promblem Background 1.2. Previous Research 1.3. Our Work Ⅱ General Assumptions l l Ⅲ Notations and Symbol Description 3.1. Notataions 3.2. Symbol Description Symbol Description Ⅳ Spread of Ebola 4.1. Traditional Epidemic Model 4.1.1. The SEIR Model 4.1.2. Outbreak Data 4.1.3. Reslts of the SEIR Model 4.2. Improved Model 4.2.1. The SEIHCR Model 4.2.2. Choosing paameters Ⅴ Pharmaceutical Intervention 5.1. Total Quantity of the Medicine 5.1.1. Results from WHO Statistics 5.2. Delivery System 5.2.1. Locations of Delivery 5.2.2. Amount of Delivery 5.3. Speed of Manufacturong 5.4. Medicine Efficacy Ⅵ Other Important Interventions 6.1. Safer Treatment of Corpses 6.2. Conclusion Ⅶ Control and Eradication of Ebola 7.1. How Ebola Can Be Controlled 7.2. When Ebola Will Be Eradicated Ⅷ Sensitivity Analysis 8.1. Impact of Transmission Rate 8.2. Impact of Incubation Period Ⅸ Strengths and Weaknesses 9.1. Strengths l l l 9.2. Weaknesses l l l 9.3.Future Work  Letter to the World Medical Association To whom it may concern, Best regards, Team #32150 References ［1］ ［2］ ［3］ ［4］