咨询管理战略组织项目麦肯锡工具评估 The Net Economy.PDF
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1、- 1 -The Net Economy Roland BergerHaniel Management ConferenceDuisburg, September 2, 1999Roland Berger & Partner GmbH International Management ConsultantsBarcelona Beijing Berlin Brussels Bucharest Budapest Buenos Aires Delhi Detroit Dsseldorf Frankfurt Hamburg Kiev Kuala Lumpur LisbonLondon Madrid
2、Milan Moscow Munich New York Paris Prague Riga Rome So Paulo Shanghai Stuttgart Tokyo Vienna Zurich- 2 -A.Status and development of the net economy Roland Berger & Partners 1999- 3 -I. Structural transformation from industrial to information/knowledge/service society1. The featuresIndustrial employm
3、ent declines from 30% to 20%Information/knowledge/service-driven employment and valuecreationCorporations and “employees” work in increasingly virtual, networkedforms of organizationInformation technology and e-technologies determine value addedprocesses/productivity in industry and service companie
4、sBoth on an internal basis and toward customers/suppliers, (global)industries and service providers are setting up networked structures- 4 -2. Europe: On the path to the knowledge/information/service society .Volume of workWest Germany million hoursSource: IAB, Roland Berger & Partners calculationsP
5、riv. services8,5695,1593,0102,0671,40026,09924,62920,12218,15514,68010,2939,3428,7628,4938,5006,8657,0708,52010,15012,7606,2706,7546,5965,5684,25919601970198019901998- 22.2%+ 47.2%+ 85.9%- 43.8%- 83.7%Volumeof work- 17.4%+ 6.3%+ 94.5%+ 170.3%- 19.8%- 84.1%Employ-ment+ 11.0%StateSecondarysectorPrimar
6、ysectorTrade/transport56,08351,77047,00846,09243,610USA ahead in structural change: Now only 300350450EnergyTelecomsInterneteconomy 1998AutomotiveindustryInterneteconomy1999 Avg. growth p.a. 1995/98 +174.5% Europe is rapidly catching upSource: CREC / University of Texas- 11 -3. Seven new economic ru
7、les determine the net economy Growing instead of falling scale returnsThe “value” of networks increases exponentially with the number ofparticipants Virtual value-added structures rather than company size and verticalintegration Mass (segment) marketing replaced by segment-of-one marketing “Imperfec
8、t” markets are turning into “perfect”, transparent markets Many industries organized along stock market principles- 12 - Assets which may not be capitalized, such as and know-how, generatevalue as drivers of economies of scale and scope Share-financed mergers accelerate growth in market share (share
9、holdervalue!) The global market is becoming the “relevant market”Only the world market is large enough to allow network and e-technologyinnovations and capacities to be recouped- 13 -4. Two factors for operative success for companies inthe net economy1) Knowledge / intellectual capital The scarce co
10、mmodity2) Client base The market entry barrierTraditional assets real estate, machines, raw materials arebecoming increasingly insignificant for growth, returns and corporatevalueThe stock exchange revalued corporations long ago: Microsoft 1.4 x General Electric- 14 -5. The four value drivers for co
11、mpanies in the net economy1) Speed The competitive tool2) Capital market access (shareholder value) The growth currency3) Content (utility, solutions, ideas) The creator of value added via the fixed cost commodity network4) Global market and value-added presence The relevant geographic dimension of(
12、virtually networked) economic activity- 15 -III.In the new net economy, all players in the value-addedprocess need to be able to change at a speed faster thanever before danger of substitution!Companies in all branches of the economyLarge, well-established companiesThe “Mittelstand”Start-upsPublic a
13、dministrationIndividual employeesThe yardstick: “Faster, better, cheaper!”The alternative: “Be among the innovators/drivers or retire”- 16 -B.E-commerce a key area in the net economy- 17 -I.E-commerce the new reality of the net economy- 18 -1. E-commerce accounts for almost half of US Internetbusine
14、ssInternet business in the USCenters and segmentationSource: CREC/University of TexasSeattleSilicon ValleyBostonNew York17.1%34.6%48.3%HardwareSoftwareE-commerce(retail)- 19 -2. E-commerce: The net economys growth driverE-commerce volumesUS US$ bnSource: Forrester1481,65919982003+62% p.a.- 20 -81-31
15、9992002Significantly declining costs are driving Internet usageCost of Internet usage in GermanySource: Roland Berger & PartnersCheaper terminalsDMInternet access DM/monthPlummeting TC costsPfennig/minuteDramatic reduction ofsystem costsNo separatecost of accessRapidly decliningTC costs300.-19992002
16、-70%1.400,-FullyequippedInternetPCInternetconsole35019992002-100%-60%- 21 -3. E-commerce: New rules of the game3. E-commerce: New rules of the game6EvolutionRevolutionPastNewmarketingtoolPresentNewsaleschannelNewefficiencydriverFutureNewbusinessmodel- 22 -E-commerce changes/is a substitute for numer
17、ousbusiness modelsSource: Roland Berger & PartnersDramaticchange oftraditionalbusiness modelsTechnologyMarketing/sales applications Internet/intranet/extranet Data warehouse Data-mining Supply chain software Computer telephony integration Kiosk systems Virtual reality Mobile Internet . . . innovativ
18、e sales channel One-to-one marketing Cross-selling Procurement market platform Build-to-order Value-added services Communities of interest- 23 -4. Net economy: Focus on customers rather thanproducts via e-commerceNet economyTraditional economyCompetitionfor productsCompetitionfor customersParadigm s
19、hift The customer defines products/services- 24 -II.B2B the main e-commerce marketof the years to come- 25 -1. B2B in 5 years 93% of the e-commerce market inthe US And the highest growth (80% p.a.)E-commerce by segmentUS 2003 (forecast) %Source: Forrester80,2%13,3%6,5%B2B (goods)B2B (services)B2CUS$
20、 1,659 bn- 26 -2. In the field of B2B, there are four basic businessmodels used in practiceBrokermodelCommunity-buildermodelRetailermodelMarketplace tradermodel Differentiation by source of income and type of income112233Business-to-businesse-commercebusiness models44- 27 -2.1 The e-commerce retaile
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