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1、RESEARCH ARTICLENarrative Style Influences Citation Frequencyin Climate Change ScienceAnn Hillier,Ryan P.Kelly*,Terrie KlingerSchool of Marine&Environmental Affairs,University of Washington,Seattle,Washington,United States ofAmerica*rpkellyuw.eduAbstractPeer-reviewed publications focusing on climate
2、 change are growing exponentially with theconsequence that the uptake and influence of individual papers varies greatly.Here,wederive metrics of narrativity from psychology and literary theory,and use these metrics totest the hypothesis that more narrative climate change writing is more likely to be
3、 influential,using citation frequency as a proxy for influence.From a sample of 732 scientific abstractsdrawn from the climate change literature,we find that articles with more narrative abstractsare cited more often.This effect is closely associated with journal identity:higher-impactjournals tend
4、to feature more narrative articles,and these articles tend to be cited moreoften.These results suggest that writing in a more narrative style increases the uptake andinfluence of articles in climate literature,and perhaps in scientific literature more broadly.IntroductionClimate change is among the
5、most compelling issues now confronting science and society,and climate science as a research endeavor has grown accordingly over the past decade.Thenumber of scholarly publications is increasing exponentially,doubling every 56 years 1.The volume of climate science publications now being produced far
6、 exceeds the ability of indi-vidual investigators to read,remember,and use.Accordingly,it is increasingly important thatindividual articles be presented in a way that facilitates the uptake of climate science andincreases the salience of their individual research contributions.Evidence from psycholo
7、gy and literary theory suggests that audiences better understandand remember narrative writing in comparison with expository writing 2,3,and new evi-dence from neuroscience has revealed a specific region in the brain that is activated by stories4.Narrative writing tells a story through related event
8、s 5,whereas expository writing relatesfacts without much social context.Presenting the same information in a more narrative wayhas the potential to increase its uptakean especially attractive prospect in the context of cli-mate science and scientific writing generallyand consequently,narratives are
9、widely recog-nized as powerful tools of communication 2,6.Despite this,professional scientific writing tends to be more expository than narrative,pri-oritizing objective observations made by detached researchers and relying on the logicalPLOS ONE|DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0167983December 15,20161/12a
10、11111OPENACCESSCitation:HillierA,KellyRP,KlingerT(2016)NarrativeStyleInfluencesCitationFrequencyinClimateChangeScience.PLoSONE11(12):e0167983.doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0167983Editor:GaryS.Bilotta,UniversityofBrighton,UNITEDKINGDOMReceived:September7,2016Accepted:November23,2016Published:December15,20
11、16Copyright:2016Hillieretal.ThisisanopenaccessarticledistributedunderthetermsoftheCreativeCommonsAttributionLicense,whichpermitsunrestricteduse,distribution,andreproductioninanymedium,providedtheoriginalauthorandsourcearecredited.DataAvailabilityStatement:AllrelevantdataarewithinthepaperanditsSuppor
12、tingInformationfiles.Funding:Theauthorsreceivednospecificfundingforthiswork.CompetingInterests:Theauthorshavedeclaredthatnocompetinginterestsexist.proposition“if X,then Y”to define the structure of the argument 7.Narrative writing,on theother hand,is commonly used to good effect in popular science w
13、riting 8.Both simple narra-tives and apocalyptic climate narratives are known to capture public attention and spur action911.Moreover,narratives can influence perceptions of climate risk and policy preferencesamong the public 12,and the narrative style has been proposed as a powerful means ofresearc
14、h to address problems of knowledge,policy,and action as they relate to climate change13.Here we explore the influence of narrative in the professional communication of climatescience research,acknowledging that the perception of narrative can be subjective and con-text-dependent 14,15.We hypothesize
15、d that scientific papers with more narrative text aremore likely to be highly cited than those with less narrative(i.e.,more expository)text,usingcitation frequency as a proxy for a papers influence on the field at large.To test this hypothe-sis,we derived six elements of narrativity from studies on
16、 narrative comprehension 1517and the literatures of psychology 2,18,19 and narrative theory 14,20,21,and used these sixelements to evaluate the degree of narrativity in 732 abstracts taken from the peer-reviewedscientific literature on climate change.We then assessed the relationship between narrati
17、vityin these journal abstracts in the context of other factors known to influence citation rate,including journal identity,abstract length,and number of authors.MethodsAbstract SelectionWe analyzed abstracts instead of the full text of selected papers because the abstract typically isthe first secti
18、on of the paper viewed by readers;moreover,the abstract is the only section of thepaper immediately available on databases such as PubMed 22.Hence,abstracts provide a rel-atively consistent point of entry to scientific publications.To select focal abstracts for the data-set,we first used the PubMed
19、database to select the journals that published the largest numberof articles featuring the phrase“climate change”in the abstract or title between 2009 and 2010.Our reasoning for choosing the set of papers that we did was as follows:First,we limited thescope by the field of inquiry(climate change),ho
20、ping to minimize the statistical variance(or“noise”)that would probably have resulted from an analysis that included many fields(whichin turn likely differ in citation frequencies and writing conventions,among other relevant fac-tors).Next,we reasoned that it takes a number of years for papers to ac
21、crue a number of cita-tionsand consequently for a set of papers to develop a distribution of citation countsthatwould allow us to test our core hypothesis.We began this study in 2015,and chose 5-to-6years as a reasonable window,allowing for citations to accrue,but not letting the papersbecome outdat
22、ed.Finally,knowing that citations accrue to individual papers nonlinearly overtime,we recognized the difficulty in using the available data(total citations,rather than cita-tions-by-year for each paper)to derive time-correction factors for each paper in the dataset.Consequently,we featured only pape
23、rs from a narrow time window,minimizing the effect oftime-since-publication on the distribution of citations in our dataset.We identified 19 journals with the largest number of articles meeting these criteria,andthen retrieved the abstracts,citation counts,and other relevant information through the
24、data-base Web of Science(S1 Table;raw dataset N=802 abstracts;N=732 after quality control;seebelow).These abstracts differed in citation frequency by two orders of magnitude,having beencited between 1 and 1205 times as of March 30,2016(median=69;we did not collect data onpapers with zero citations i
25、n order to avoid the problems associated with log-transformingzero data),and reflected the expected left-skewed distribution.Narrative Style and CitationsPLOS ONE|DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0167983December 15,20162/12CrowdsourcingWe used the crowdsourcing site CrowdFlower(http:/)to collect infor-matio
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