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(完整word版)计量经济学模拟考试题(第7套).pdf

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1、第七套一、单项选择题 1、用模型描述现实经济系统的原则是()A.以理论分析作先导，解释变量应包括所有解释变量B.以理论分析作先导，模型规模大小要适度C.模型规模越大越好；这样更切合实际情况D.模型规模大小要适度，结构尽可能复杂2、ARCH 检验方法主要用于检验（）A异方差性 B.自相关性 C随机解释变量D.多重共线性3、在古典假设成立的条件下用OLS方法估计线性回归模型参数，则参数估计量具有（）的统计性质。A有偏特性B.非线性特性 C最小方差特性D.非一致性特性4、将一年四个季度对因变量的影响引入到模型中，则需要引入虚拟变量的个数为（）A.4 B.3 C.2 D.1 5、广义差分法是对()

2、用最小二乘法估计其参数。12112111211211.(1)()tttttttttttttttAyxuByxuCyxuDyyxxuu6、在序列自相关的情况下，参数估计值的方差不能正确估计的原因是（）22.().()0().()0.()0iijiiiA E uB E u uijC E x uD E u7、设回归模型为iiiiuxxy33221，下列表明变量之间具有不完全多重共线性的是()123123123123.0200.0200.0000.0000AxxxBxxxvCxxxDxxxv8、在有 M个方程的完备联立方程组中，当识别的阶条件为1MNHi（H为联立方程组中内生变量和前定变量的总数，iN

3、为第i个方程中内生变量和前定变量的总数）时，则表示()A.第i个方程恰好识别 B.第i个方程不可识别C.第i个方程过度识别 D.第i个方程识别状态不能确定在有9、简化式模型就是把结构式模型中的内生变量表示为()A.外生变量和内生变量的函数关系 B.外生变量和随机误差项的函数模型 C.滞后变量和随机误差项的函数模型 D.前定变量和随机误差项的函数模型 10、在 DW 检验中，当d 统计量为4 时，表明（）A.存在完全的正自相关 B.存在完全的负自相关C.不存在自相关 D.不能判定11、辅助回归法（又待定系数法）主要用于检验（）A 异方差性 B.自相关性C 随机解释变量 D.多重共线性12、对自回

4、归模型进行自相关检验时，下列说法正确的有（）A 使用 DW 检验有效B 使用 DW 检验时，DW值往往趋近于0 C 使用 DW 检验时，DW值往往趋近于2 D 使用 DW 检验时，DW值往往趋近于4 13、双对数模型XYlnlnln10中，参数1的含义是（）A.Y 关于 X的增长率 B.Y关于 X的发展速度C.Y 关于 X的弹性 D.Y关于 X 的边际变化14、线设OLS 法得到的样本回归直线为iiieXY21?，以下说法不正确的是()A0ie B),(YX一定在回归直线上 CYY?D0),(iieXCOV 15、在有 M个方程的完备联立方程组中，当识别的阶条件为1MNHi（H为联立方程组中内

5、生变量和前定变量的总数，iN为第i个方程中内生变量和前定变量的总数）时，则表示()A.第i个方程不可识别 B.第i个方程恰好识别C.第i个方程过度识别 D.第i个方程的识别状态不能确定16、在修正异方差的方法中，不正确的是（）文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T

6、3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10

7、T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D1

8、0T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D

9、10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10

10、D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B1

11、0D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B

12、10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1A.加权最小二乘法B.对原模型变换的方法C.对模型的对数变换法D.两阶段最小二乘法17、下列说法正确的是（）A.序列自相关是样本现象B.序列自相关是一种随机误差现象C.序列自相关是总体现象D.截面数据更易产生序列自相关18、回归分析中定义的()A、解释变量和被解释变量都是随机变量B、解释变量为非随机变量，被解释变量为随机变量C、解释变量和被解释变量都为非随机变量D、解释变量为随机变量，被解释变量为非随机变量 19、对样本的相关系数，以下结论错

13、误的是（）A.|越接近 0，X与Y之间线性相关程度高B.|越接近 1，X与Y之间线性相关程度高C.11 D、0，则X与Y相互独立 20、在经济发展发生转折时期，可以通过引入虚拟变量方法来表示这种变化。例如，研究中国城镇居民消费函数时。1991 年前后，城镇居民商品性实际支出Y对实际可支配收入 X的回归关系明显不同。现以1991 年为转折时期，设虚拟变量年以后；年以前；1991019911tD，数据散点图显示消费函数发生了结构性变化：基本消费部分下降了，边际消费倾向变大了。则城镇居民线性消费函数的理论方程可以写作（）A.tttuXY10 B.tttttuXDXY210 C.ttttuDXY210

14、 D.ttttttuXDDXY3210二、多项选择题 1、如果模型中存在异方差现象，则会引起如下后果（）A.参数估计值有偏B.参数估计值的方差不能正确确定C.变量的显著性检验失效D.预测精度降低E.参数估计值仍是无偏的 2、广义最小二乘法的特殊情况是（）A.对模型进行对数变换 B.加权最小二乘法文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8

15、D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS

16、8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 H

17、S8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10

18、HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10

19、 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H1

20、0 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H

21、10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1C.数据的结合 D.广义差分法E.增加样本容量 3、调整后的判定系数2R与判定系数2R之间的关系叙述正确的有（）A.2R与2R均非负B.2R有可能大于2RC.判断多元回归模型拟合优度时，使用2RD.模型中包含的解释变量个数越多，2R与2R就相差越大E.只要模型中包括截距项在内的参数的个数大于1，则22RR4、关于联立方程模型识别问题，以下说法不正确的有（）A.满足阶条件的方

22、程则可识别B.如果一个方程包含了模型中的全部变量，则这个方程恰好识别C.如果一个方程包含了模型中的全部变量，则这个方程不可识别D.如果两个方程包含相同的变量，则这两个方程均不可识别E.联立方程组中的每一个方程都是可识别的，则联立方程组才可识别 F.联立方程组中有一个方程不可识别，则联立方程组不可识别 5、下列说法不正确的是（）A.多重共线性是总体现象 B.多重共线性是完全可以避免的C.多重共线性是一种样本现象D.在共线性程度不严重的时候可进行结构分析E.只有完全多重共线性一种类型三、判断题（判断下列命题正误，并说明理由）1、在异方差性的情况下，常用的OLS法必定高估了估计量的标准误。2、即使经

23、典线性回归模型（CLRM）中的干扰项不服从正态分布的，OLS估计量仍然是无偏的。3、变量模型中，对样本回归函数整体的显著性检验与斜率系数的显著性检验是一致的。4、多重共线性问题是随机扰动项违背古典假定引起的；5、秩条件是充要条件，因此利用秩条件就可以完成联立方程识别状态的确定。文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9

24、ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9

25、 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F

26、9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7

27、F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P

28、7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5

29、P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C

30、5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1四、计算题1、组合证券理论的资本市场线（CML）表明期望收益iE与风险i之间存在线性关系如下：iiE21根据 19902000 年间美国34 只共同基金的期望回报及其标准差数据，得出如下回归结果，请根据有关运算关系填写表中空白处的数值，并判断此结果是否支持了上述理论。Dependent Variable:Y Method:Least Squares Sample:134 Included o

31、bservations:34 Variable Coefficient Std.Error t-Statistic Prob.C 5.540940 0.968608 0.0000 X 0.474514 0.055077 0.0000 R-squared Mean dependent var 13.64118 Adjusted R-squared S.D.dependent var 2.436480 S.E.of regression Akaike info criterion 3.506937 Sum squared resid 59.01394 Schwarz criterion 3.596

32、723 Log likelihood-57.61793 F-statistic Durbin-Watson stat 1.796718 Prob(F-statistic)0.000000 2、下面结果是利用某地财政收入对该地第一、二、三产业增加值的回归结果。根据这一结果试判断该模型是否存在多重共线性，说明你的理由。Dependent Variable:REV Method:Least Squares Sample:1 10 Included observations:10 Variable Coefficient Std.Error t-Statistic Prob.C 17414.63 14

33、135.10 1.232013 0.2640 GDP1-0.277510 0.146541-1.893743 0.1071 GDP2 0.084857 0.093532 0.907252 0.3992 GDP3 0.190517 0.151680 1.256048 0.2558 R-squared 0.993798 Mean dependent var 63244.00 Adjusted R-squared 0.990697 S.D.dependent var 54281.99 S.E.of regression 5235.544 Akaike info criterion 20.25350

34、Sum squared resid 1.64E+08 Schwarz criterion 20.37454 Log likelihood-97.26752 F-statistic 320.4848 Durbin-Watson stat 1.208127 Prob(F-statistic)0.000001 文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H1

35、0 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H

36、10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3

37、H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T

38、3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10

39、T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D1

40、0T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D

41、10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T13、以广东省东莞市的财政支出作为被解释变量、财政收入作为解释变量做计量经济模型，即XY，方程估计、残差散点图及ARCH 检验输出结果分别如下：方程估计结果：Dependent Variable:Y Method:Least Squares Date:05/31/03 Time:12:42 Sample:1980 1997 Included observations

42、:18 Variable Coefficient Std.Error t-Statistic Prob.C-2457.310 680.5738-3.610644 0.0023 X 0.719308 0.011153 64.49707 0.0000 R-squared 0.996168 Mean dependent var 25335.11 Adjusted R-squared 0.995929 S.D.dependent var 35027.97 S.E.of regression 2234.939 Akaike info criterion 18.36626 Sum squared resi

43、d 79919268 Schwarz criterion 18.46519 Log likelihood-163.2963 F-statistic 4159.872 Durbin-Watson stat 2.181183 Prob(F-statistic)0.000000 残差与残差滞后1 期的散点图：ARCH 检验输出结果：ARCH Test:文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q

44、2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8

45、Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G

46、8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6

47、G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F

48、6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7

49、F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX

50、7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1文档编码:CK4B10D10T3H10 HS8D1C5P7F9 ZX7F6G8Q2T1F-statistic 2.886465 Probability 0.085992 Obs*R-squared 7.867378 Probability 0.096559 Test Equation:Dependent Variable:RESID2 Method:Least Squares Date:06/10/03 T

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