中国经济发展与战略.ppt

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1、Chinas Economic Planning and State Strategies ContentThe latest Government and CPC Work Reports Main industrial policiesDeveloping policies in different RegionsBeijingShanghaiGuangzhou1.Economic policies in the Latest Government and CPC Work Reports The 16th and 17th CPC National Congress Reports200

2、5-2008 Government Work ReportHold High The Great Banner Of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics And Strive for New Victories in Building A Moderately Prosperous Society in All Respects.1.1 The Outline of 17th CPCNC ReportThe Past Five-Year WorkThe Great Historical Course of Reform and Opening Up T

3、horoughly Applying the Scientific Outlook on Development New Requirements for Attaining the Goal of Building a Moderately Prosperous Society in All RespectsPromoting Sound and Rapid Development of the National Economy Unswervingly Developing Socialist Democracy Promoting Vigorous Development and Pro

4、sperity of Socialist Culture Accelerating Social Development with the Focus on Improving Peoples Livelihood Opening Up New Prospects for Modernization of National Defense and the Armed Forces Carrying Forward the Practice of One Country,Two Systems and Advancing the Great Cause of Peaceful National

5、Reunification Unswervingly Following the Path of Peaceful Development Comprehensively Carrying Forward the Great New Undertaking to Build the Party in a Spirit of Reform and Innovation 1.2 Comparison between 17th and 16th CPCNC ReportsTwo reports have almost the same contentsThe later one is more ec

6、onomy focused the former one is more political-orientedThe later one is more detailed and more practical-oriented 1.3 State Developing StrategyAimModerately prosperous society in all respects Industrialization MissionKeeping the high speed of economic developmentKeeping the scientific outlook on dev

7、elopment 1.4 Scientific Outlook on Development -The Core of State Developing StrategyRegard development as the top priority of the Party in governing and rejuvenating the country Always put people first Pursue comprehensive,balanced and sustainable development Persist in overall consideration Scient

8、ific Outlook on DevelopmentTo adhere to one central task and two basic points To work energetically to build a harmonious socialist society To continue to deepen reform and opening up To strengthen our efforts to build the Party in earnest 1.5 Economic Developing PolicyTo enhance Chinas capacity for

9、 independent innovation To accelerate transformation of the mode of economic development and promote upgrading of the industrial structure To balance urban and rural development and build a new socialist countryside To improve energy,resources,ecological and environmental protectionEconomic Developi

10、ng PolicyTo promote balanced development among regions and improve the pattern of land development To improve the basic economic system and the modern market system To deepen fiscal,taxation and financial restructuring and improve macroeconomic regulation To expand opening up in scope and depth and

11、improve our open economy 1.6 Macroeconomic Regulation and Market EconomyWe are on the way to a market economyProblems Need to Be Solvedoverheated investment,excessive money and credit supply,serious trade imbalance in recent years.The government Macro-economic Regulations andthe central banks measur

12、es taking will help theChinas market growing smoothly1.7 Economic Policy ChangedTo maintain rapid economic growth in the past years,because it can increase national income,ensure the rapid urbanization of the rural population,good for employment.The policy adjustment(in 17th CPCNC)should contribute

13、to the stability and rapid economic developmentWe Need More Flexible Economic PoliciesIn 2007,problems of overheated investment,excessive money and credit supply,no effective measures have been takenCPI in 2007 is 4.8%，as the same index of 2006 is 1.5%Serious trade imbalance in recent yearsPart 2.In

14、dustrial PolicyIn general Some special industries -Agriculture -Finance -Other industrial policies2.1.In generalTo enhance Chinas capacity for independent innovation and make China an innovative country To accelerate transformation of the mode of economic development and promote upgrading of the ind

15、ustrial structure Three Transitions in The Mode of Economic Growth mainly rely oninvestment and exportrely on combination of consumption,investment and exportsecondary industry drivingprimary,secondary and tertiary industries jointly drivingAt first 2nd Step Three Transitions in The Mode of Economic

16、 Growthrely heavily on increased consumption of material resourcesrely mainly on advances in sci.&tech.improvement in the quality of the workforce innovation in management3rd Step Three Transitions in The Mode of Economic GrowthThe background of the three transitionsIn 11th.Five-Year Plan transformi

17、ng the mode of economic growth was introduced in the 5th.Plenary Session,16th.Central Committee(early in 2005)Two bottlenecks in Chinas economic developmentresourceCountrys economic&social system Three Transitions in The Mode of Economic GrowthThe average economic growth rate of our country is 8.8%(

18、the 10th Five-Year Plan.The growth is realized at an excessively high cost of resources and the environment.Problems were occurred Overheated investment,excessive money&credit supply and serious trade imbalance.2.2.Agricultural PolicyTo strengthen the position of agriculture as the foundation of the

19、 national economy To continue to take developing modern agriculture and invigorating the rural economy as a primary taskTo increase policy measures to support and benefit agricultureTo develop rural infrastructure To increasetransfer payments to some counties and townships To minimum purchase price

20、for key grain varieties To grant general subsidies for agricultural products suppliers Agricultural taxeswere rescinded throughout the country Agricultural Policies2.3 Financial PoliciesTo proceed with financial reforms to develop various types of financial markets and build a modern financial syste

21、m To make our banking,securities and insurance industries more competitive To improve the structure of the capital market and raise the proportion of direct financing through multiple channels Financial PoliciesDefinition of direct financing Any financing transaction where there is no intermediary b

22、etween the lender and the borrower.Where securities are sold directly to institutional lenders or investors and the cost of underwriting is being avoided.channels of direct financingbond marketstock marketcommercial paper deficit unit issueprimary marketsecondary marketmain board marketSME board mar

23、ketventure capitalcreative board marketFinancial PoliciesTo strengthen financial supervision and control,and forestall and defuse financial risksTo improve the RMB exchange rate regime and gradually make the RMB convertible under capital accounts 2.4 Other Industrial Policies To upgrade new-and high

24、-technology industries and develop information,biotechnology,new materials,aerospace,marine and other industries.To develop the modern service industry and raise the level of the service sector and its share in the economy.To step up efforts to improve basic industries and infrastructure and acceler

25、ate development of a modern energy industry and a comprehensive transport system.To encourage formation of internationally competitive conglomerates.Part 3.Developing Plans in Different RegionsBeijing-the Jing-Jin-Tang development areaShanghai-the Yangtze Delta development areaGuangzhou-the Zhujiang

26、 Delta development area3.1 Strategy And Policies in Jing-Jin-Jang Area Jing-Jin-Tang RangeBeijng and Tianjin Cities Three cities in Hebei Province Tangshan Qinhuangdao LangfangJing-Jin-Tang Industrial ZoneStrategy&Policies in Jing-Jin-Tang Area BeijingReview in the last five yearsRapid GDP growth-fr

27、om 433.04 billion Yuan(2002)to 900.62 billion(2007)Reform and Opening-up DeepenedOlympic Games went successfullyStrategy&Policies in Jing-Jin-Tang Area Beijing2008 Beijing Olympic Games,input on urban infrastructure construction is 180 billion Yuan.The total investment Beijing Olympic venue construc

28、tion is expected be 20.5 billion Yuan.90 billion Yuan funds for a complete transportation network construction in subway,light rail,highway,airport and other projects.Strategy&Policies in Jing-Jin-Tang AreaStrategies in BeijingCity internationalizationService economyLight industryPoliciesEffectively

29、 change the mode of development and Further optimize the industrial structure-tertiary industry,74%Strengthen the innovation ability to improve science&tech.Strategy&Policies in Jing-Jin-Tang AreaTianjinReview in the last five years GDP over 500 billion Yuan at average growth rate of 15%GDP per capi

30、ta USD 6000 Strategy&Policies in Jing-Jin-Tang AreaStrategies in TianjinTo be an international port cityNorthern economic centerEcological cityPoliciesTo speed up the restructuring and transformation of the development mode-Industry The main growth power in TianjingTianjin Industry Products in 2007P

31、roductUnitOutputIncrease（%）Natural crude oil10000 ton1924.28-1.0Natural gas100 million stereo 13.3427.0pig iron10000 ton1435.422.8Finished steel products10000 ton2840.2828.4seamless steel tube10000 ton 276.0326.1cement10000 ton 611.442.8Mobile phone10000 9778.77-6.6camera10000 713.1675.1car10000 45.

32、433.2bike10000 1711.0918.9cloth100million meter 2.781.6large scale integrated circuit10000piece 63009.0010.33.2 Shanghai-The Yangtze Delta Development AreaYangtzi River Delta Region Contains 16 citiesIt is crowned as the 6th cluster of cities in the world Regional Economic Integration the region wit

33、h two or more provinces or regions promotes economic and trade development through the establishment of a common coordination bodies formulate a unified economic and trade policyeliminate trade barriers among themselves Policiestransportation legislation systemcompetition environmentresource sharing

34、population distribution Chart I Manufacturing(percentage in the country)Distinct CharactersZhejiang-textile,leather,buttons,electrical appliances,other labor-intensive industrial clusters Shanghai-technology-intensive and capital-intensive industrial clustersJiangsu-textile,clothing,light industry,a

35、nd other traditional industrial clusters New TendencySome labor-intensive industries in Shanghai and some capital-intensive industries begin to transfer to Jiangsu,ZhejiangGDP in ShanghaiSource:http:/www.stats-Stocks,Futures,Inter-Bank Lending Market TurnoverSource:http:/www.stats-Financial Environm

36、entamount(billion Yuan)Percentage in the country Stock turnover5781.6663.9%Futures Turnover12610.125.86%Listed companies14811%Stock companies1516%Investment consulting companies3330%Futures companies2514%Insurance Companies 71Policiesattract the professionals and much more financial agenciesProvide

37、a fair competition environment and certain preferential policiesConclusions The development of Shanghai will not only benefit itself but also given impetus to the surrounding areas.3.3 Guangzhou-The Pearl River Delta Development AreaStrategies Economic development with basic information SWOT analysi

38、sCompared with other deltas(outline)Effective proposalsFuture development prospectsReview of The Economic Development in The Pearl River Delta GDP/GDP per capitaIndustrial StructureIncome of the Residents StrategyInvestment PatternsExport ScaleEconomic IndicatorsGDP(2007)is 2,527 billion(Yuan)Percen

39、tage to the whole province is 82.74%The average annual growth rate is 15.58%(2000 2007)GDP per capita(2007)is 53,587(Yuan)1.65 times higher than the province levelIndustrial Structure yearpercentage20002007Primary Industry5.81%2.82%Secondary Industry49.57%51.42%Tertiary Industry44.63%45.76%Second in

40、dustry continued to maintain steady growth trend.Its structure was continually optimized and upgraded.Communication industryElectric ManufacturingTransportation equipment manufacturing industryHigh-tech industry enjoyed a rapid development High-tech product exports reached to 251 billion Yuan,31.6%o

41、f total exports in recent five yearsThe steady development of tertiary industry was promoted.The overall level of services were raisedA major force to promote the urbanization processResidents IncomeUrban and rural residents savings deposits in all financial institutions(2007)is 1830 billion Yuan.2.

42、82 times greater than that of 2000Residents income was steadily increasedInvestment PatternsIn recent five years,the investments in the infrastructure have been further strengthenedin energy,transportation,communicationA number of major projects proceeded smoothly,such as Shenzhen metroYangmao expre

43、ss wayLinao nuclear power station Export ScaleThe dependence of Polytechnic Research and Development(PRD)on global market increased dramatically,the export reliance rose up from 94.98%in 2000 to 106.3%in 2007.The PRD(2001 2007)absorbed FDI in USD 70.289 billion,accounting for about 90%of the provinc

44、e.Development StrategiesBased on the statistics of economicdevelopment in PRD,To speed up the readjustment of the industrial structureTo develop high-tech industries and modern servicesTo develop the export sector Development StrategiesTo build the port citiesTo transform the traditional industriesT

45、o strengthen and consolidate the central city statusSWOT AnalysisStrengthModern market system has been already formed.New tech.industries have developed by leaps and bounds.High-tech products exports(2003)reached to USD 11.83 billion,which dominates the first place in the nation.SWOT AnalysisWeaknes

46、sThe scattered cities distribution has hampered the function of a city group.The capacity in scientific and technological innovation is low.Strong human resources are lack.SWOT AnalysisOpportunityLabor-intensive light industry-base of the industry.Export-oriented economy accounts for a high proporti

47、on.SWOT AnalysisThreatIndustrial system is not perfect.The environment for foreign investmentThe development of private economy is neglected.Compared with Other DeltasComparisons(outline)lTechnologylPersonnel mechanismlTransportation system planninglFinancing environmentlIndustrial structurelThe lev

48、el of economic developmentEffective ProposalsTo develop industry gatheringTo foster regional economic characteristicsTo optimize the environment and create a good platform for economic developmentTo cooperate with other deltasProspectsA rapid growth trend will be maintainedThe industrial structure will be optimizedContradiction between economic development and environmental resources will be easedThe pace of regional integration will be acceleratedThe cooperation with Hong Kong and Macao will be improved