咨询管理战略组织项目麦肯锡工具评估 MUC-0203-92299-02-01.ppt
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1、-1-Roland Berger&Partner GmbH International Management ConsultantsBarcelona Beijing Berlin Brussels Bucharest Budapest Buenos Aires Delhi Detroit Dsseldorf Frankfurt Hamburg Kiev Kuala Lumpur LisbonLondon Madrid Milan Moscow Munich New York Paris Prague Riga Rome So Paulo Shanghai Stuttgart Tokyo Vi
2、enna ZurichProfitable growth through partnership in Category ManagementSpeech held byMunich,November 19th,1999MUC-0203-92299-02-01-2-ContentPageA.Background information about Safeway,Scottish?Courage and the UK beer marketB.What were our market objectives?C.What did we do together to reach our targe
3、ts?D.What are our key learnings?E.What are our next steps?MUC-0203-92299-02-01-3-A.Background information about Safeway,Scottish Courage and the UK beer marketMUC-0203-92299-02-01-4-Safeway is one of the major supermarkets in the UKTurnover:8.10 bnProfit:357 mStores:490Average Size:21,000sqftAverage
4、 weekly customer count:6 millionMUC-0203-92299-02-01-5-The grocery market in the UK is highly concentrated with the top 5 players accounting for nearly 70%Market-Share Year to Sept.199921.217.612.99.28.3%-ShareMUC-0203-92299-02-01-6-DUMMY:Safeway relative position on beer is now strongMUC-0203-92299
5、-02-01-7-DUMMY:Corporate StructureMUC-0203-92299-02-01-8-DUMMY:Key factsMUC-0203-92299-02-01-9-DUMMY:Split of channels,Key brandsMUC-0203-92299-02-01-10-The total brand portfolio is large,but concentrated in the hands of a few ownersOwn label 8.9%ScottishCourage22.4%Bass 16.5%Carlsberg Tetley 9.0%Gu
6、inness 5.2%Other 18.2%Whitbread19.8%Source:Nielsen Retail Audit,AC Nielsen Market share(multiple grocers)Top 5 Brands share by marketDetergentsInstant CoffeeCat FoodTeaButter,spreadYogurtsSnack ProductsCerealsBeer737064524642353317MUC-0203-92299-02-01-11-DUMMY:Long-term on&off trade forecastMUC-0203
7、-92299-02-01-12-Though growing rapidly,Britains take home share is less than half of other countriesTake home beer as a percentage of total beer salesUSA70%Germany65%France61%UK29%Source:Canadean 1998 MUC-0203-92299-02-01-13-DUMMY:Long-term of trade share of beerMUC-0203-92299-02-01-14-DUMMY:Main di
8、fferences between Germany and UKMUC-0203-92299-02-01-15-Within the Take Home sector off licenses are still a significant channelMultiple grocers share of the beer channel has shown no long term growth since 1995Multiple specialists are defending their business base as seen in recent merger activityU
9、nderstanding customer motivations by channel and store type will be vital in order for multiple grocers to successfully steal market share in futureMarket situation%value share by channel9394959697Multiple GrocersCo-opMultiple SpecialistsIndependentsSource:AC Nielsen,Dec 9744.05.321.729.048.15.321.3
10、25.948.25.321.226.048.25.321.526.348.65.321.225.6MUC-0203-92299-02-01-16-B.What were our market objectives?MUC-0203-92299-02-01-17-DUMMY:The Beer Category Management Project was part of Safeways wider Category Management initiativeMUC-0203-92299-02-01-18-Safeway wanted to improve its weak position i
11、n the market%Share in Beer Indexed on Packaged Groceries Share(BDI)-13-14661921-6-6-7-11SainsburySafewaySomerfieldAsdaTesco52w/e May 04 9752w/e May 03 98Source:AGB Liqurpanel May 1998 MUC-0203-92299-02-01-19-!Premium bottles were identified as the main opportunityIndexed top 5 lager share vs.grocery
12、 shareTescoSainsburyAsdaSomerfieldSafewayTotal lager(66%)Source:AGB Stubbies(15%)Premium Bottles(9%)Premium Cans(14%)6-1421-6-126-1420-581721-2118-24-1710-14328-40Most important lever to improve profitabilityMUC-0203-92299-02-01-20-DUMMY:Selecting a supplier to?with an new Category Management Projec
13、t was.MUC-0203-92299-02-01-21-DUMMY:Three supplies were characterized to be.MUC-0203-92299-02-01-22-DUMMY:Scottish courage was chosen based on a number of clear factsMUC-0203-92299-02-01-23-DUMMY:Results and relationshipsMUC-0203-92299-02-01-24-DUMMY:Can catman grow the cakeMUC-0203-92299-02-01-25-C
14、.What did we do together to reach our targets?MUC-0203-92299-02-01-26-DUMMY:Safeway-Scottish Courage Brands Category Management TeamMUC-0203-92299-02-01-27-DUMMYMUC-0203-92299-02-01-28-Consumer understanding has helped us come to an agreement on the category definitionLagerAleStoutCiderAlcopopsWines
15、SpiritsSoft DrinksNARROWBROADScope of projectCategory definitionMUC-0203-92299-02-01-29-We have identified the key segments in the consumer decision treeCategorySub-categorySubsegmentDraught Bitter11%Bitter12%Real Ale Bottles6%Standard lager19%Super-strength lager2%Stubbies15%No/low alcohol0%Value l
16、ager4%Premium lager26%Standard Draught Bitter8%Premium Draught Bitter3%Ice lager3%Premium canned lager14%Premium bottled lager9%Bitter/Ale29%1)Stout5%Lager66%BeerSegments1)%Safeway turnover for the segment as a%of total beerForecastValue of Beer category in Safeway 152 mMUC-0203-92299-02-01-30-Main
17、changes in our view of the categoryWe added additional segments such as draft bitter,stubbies and ice lagerWe moved from an industry-led to a consumer-driven definitionNot the alcohol content,but more the drinking occasion was consideredWe changed the description of our segments to the customers lan
18、guageMUC-0203-92299-02-01-31-We decided to make beers a“preferred category”Evidence from quantitative Cross-category analysisEvidence from qualitative analysisCategory RolePREFFERED1.Medium to high market growth2.Middle to low target consumer penetration3.High total spend4.High cash profit within Sa
19、feway1.Low take-home share offers long-term opportunities2.Safeways relative position still weak3.Large brewers can support beers as a preferred categoryMUC-0203-92299-02-01-32-DUMMY:Category assessment shows an 47m oppor-tunity in beer by attaining fair shareMUC-0203-92299-02-01-33-The main issues
20、identified the basis for the tactical decisionsIssuePenetrationWeight of purchaseIncrease loyaltyDrive profitabilityActionTraffic building promotional activitiesIncrease visibility of the aisleMulti siting for secondary shoppersFocus on lager packsTrade shoppers from standard to premium productsLong
21、-term activities to make purchasing larger packs easierCombat the specialists through chilled beerPromotional mechanics to reduce the need for top-up purchasesTrade shoppers from standard to premium and from small to large packsIncrease price on Real AlesMUC-0203-92299-02-01-34-%spend from16-44sSafe
22、way is in an ideal position to take advantage of the growing premium lager sectorDown market&youngDown market&old%spend from ABC1sUp market&oldValue lagerCiderPremium ice lagerPremium bottled lagerSuperstrengthlagerStoutStandard Widget aleBottled aleAsdaSainsburyPremium widgetStubbiesSource:AGB Supe
23、rpanel,52 w/e 4th May 1998 Standard lagerSomer-fieldUp market&youngTescoSafewayPremium canned lagerTotal BeerMUC-0203-92299-02-01-35-5Premium lager was identified as the biggest opportunity for SafewayMarket share Gap QuadrantMarket share%Marketgrowth%StandardCheapSuper strengthPremiumStubbiesTop 5
24、fair Share=15.1%-101020304050102015MUC-0203-92299-02-01-36-The aim was to gain Fair Share by 2000 Conclusion:Category Performances MeasuresCustomerForecast1998/99Objective1999/00Objective2000/01LoyaltyClosure rateAverage weightof purchase46.17.749.77.752.87.7 5.47 5.74 6.03FinancialForecast1998/99Ob
25、jective1999/00Objective2000/01Sales growth(LFL)114116115MarketForecast1998/99Objective1999/00Objective2000/01Market share-Top 5Indexed sharevs.best of top 5889410013.3%14.2%15.1%In-store out-of-stockAverage depot stock cover(days)13.09.04.423.116.814.0ProductivityForecast1998/99Objective1999/00Objec
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