MPACC 公司财务-估值模型.xls

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1、招招商商银银行行年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价PB主主营营增增长长净净利利60003620091.121.301418.201224.6922.323.9320001.202921.6720101.231.461420.381227.6623.994动动态态PE20011.200791.7820111.151.791425.071230.9817.3017.3020020.912011.2120121.152.061428.831234.6915.0415.0420031.419751.2920131.152.3714

2、33.161238.8613.0813.0820041.465951.4120141.152.721438.131243.5211.3711.3720051.258191.2520151.153.131443.851248.749.899.8920061.517961.8120161.153.601450.431254.598.608.6020071.652.2420171.154.141457.991261.147.487.4820181.154.761466.691268.4820191.155.481476.701276.70民民生生银银行行年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均

3、PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价PB主主营营增增长长净净利利60001620101.450.66127.92186.066.03动动态态PE6.1020111.130.961211.48187.156.48227.477.4720121.111.081212.98188.446.616.6120131.111.201214.40189.965.965.9620141.101.331215.991811.755.375.3720151.101.471217.591813.864.884.8820161.091.611219.351816.364.434.4330.54

4、20171.081.761221.091819.304.074.0720181.071.901222.771822.77万万科科年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价主主营营增增长长净净利利00000220091.150.44167.0410.810.759.83动动态态PE19981.161.085.2620101.200.51168.1010.811.9110.56723.5423.5419991.281.13正常估值20111.160.61169.7210.813.2019.6219.6220001.331.312012

5、1.150.701611.2710.814.6216.9116.9120011.151.2420131.150.811612.9610.816.2014.7014.7020021.031.02成长太一般20141.150.931614.9010.817.9512.7912.7920031.391.4220151.151.071617.1410.819.8911.1211.1220041.201.6220161.151.231619.7110.822.049.679.6720051.381.5420171.151.421622.6710.824.4220061.691.6020181.151.6

6、31626.0710.827.0620071.982.1120191.151.871629.9810.829.98保保利利地地产产年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价主主营营增增长长净净利利60004820091.220.901614.4010.723.5421.655.2120101.181.101617.5710.726.0623.274动动态态PE823.78正常估值20111.181.301620.7310.728.8522.2722.27825.6820121.151.531624.4610.731.9418.87

7、18.87827.7420131.151.761628.1310.735.3616.4116.41829.9520141.152.021632.3510.739.1414.2714.27832.3520151.152.331637.2010.743.3312.4112.4120161.152.671642.7810.747.9710.7910.7920171.153.081649.2010.753.109.389.3820181.153.541656.5810.758.7820191.154.071665.0710.765.07中中材材国国际际年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE

8、 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价主主营营增增长长净净利利60097020021.361.145.2620101.551.721627.521639.1239动动态态PE20031.721.22正常估值20111.302.671642.661645.3841.92517.0217.0220041.441.5520121.163.471655.451652.6513.0913.0920051.561.2420131.154.021664.331661.0711.2911.2920061.761.4320141.154.621673.971670.849.829.822015

9、1.155.321685.071682.178.548.5420161.156.111697.831695.327.427.4220171.157.0316112.5116110.576.456.4520181.158.0916129.3816128.2720191.159.3016148.7916148.79贵贵州州茅茅台台年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价主主营营增增长长60051920105.3520107.008.5184.65183动动态态PE19991.4220111.306.9620139.108.5200.

10、34196.7328.8128.8120001.252011.5.120121.258.6920173.888.5217.3723.0423.0420011.4520131.2010.4320208.658.5235.8519.2019.2020021.1320141.1311.7920235.778.5255.8916.9916.9920031.3120151.1313.3220266.438.5277.6515.0415.0420041.2520161.1014.6520293.078.5301.2513.6713.6720051.3120171.1016.1220322.378.5326

11、.8512.4312.4320061.2520181.0917.5720351.398.5354.6320071.4720181.0919.1520383.018.5384.7820191.0920.8720417.488.5417.48张张裕裕年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价00086920101.272.722465.2812.696.6296.5动动态态PE主主营营增增长长20111.233.452482.9112.6108.79100.5531.4931.4920001.392011.5.1220121.224.

12、2524101.9712.6122.5025.6025.6020011.0120131.205.1824124.4112.6137.9320.9920.9920021.0520141.186.2224149.2912.6155.3117.4917.4920031.2220151.147.3424176.1612.6174.8814.8214.8220041.1820161.128.3724200.8212.6196.9213.0013.0020051.3520171.119.3724224.9212.6221.7311.6111.6120061.2020181.1110.4024249.671

13、2.6249.6720071.2620081.2620091.2220101.18双双鹭鹭药药业业年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价主主营营增增长长00203820091.301.272430.481640.4436.720021.5720101.251.652439.621646.9139.45320031.438.720111.202.062449.531654.4120041.3120121.172.482459.441663.1220051.2720131.172.902469.541673.2220061.212

14、0141.173.392481.361684.9320071.6520151.173.972495.191698.5220161.174.6424111.3816114.28ROE保持20%以上20171.175.4324130.3116132.57历历史史增增长长不不太太稳稳定定20181.176.3524152.4616153.78研研发发能能力力强强20191.177.4324178.3816178.38云云南南白白药药年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价PB00053820091.371.122426.8815.54

15、4.0840.320101.271.532436.8315.550.9143.3238.2020111.251.952446.7715.558.8020121.182.442458.4615.567.9120131.182.872468.9815.578.4420141.183.392481.4015.590.6020151.184.002496.0515.5104.6420161.184.7224113.3415.5120.8620171.185.5724133.7415.5139.6020181.186.5824157.8215.5161.2320191.187.7624186.2215.

16、5186.22恒恒瑞瑞医医药药年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价主主营营增增长长60027620091.271.102426.4013.340.1237.1219981.2020101.241.402433.5313.345.4639.90419991.148.2020111.171.732441.5713.351.5020001.1720121.172.032448.6413.358.3520011.3120131.172.372456.9113.366.1120021.1920141.162.772466.5913.3

17、74.9120031.3920151.163.222477.2413.384.8720041.0920161.163.732489.6013.396.1620051.0320171.164.3324103.9313.3108.9520061.2120181.165.0224120.5613.3123.4420071.3820191.165.8324139.8513.3139.85具具有有强强大大的的研研发发和和销销售售能能力力 科科华华生生物物年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价主主营营增增长长00202220091.280

18、.523015.60716.4720021.3120101.100.463013.74717.6216.420031.252010.7.3020111.100.503015.11718.8617.6320041.102011.4.820121.100.553016.63720.1820051.2620131.100.613018.29721.5920061.1320141.100.673020.12723.1015.511.30420071.1820151.100.743022.13724.7215.513.05620161.100.813024.34726.4515.515.0820171.

19、100.893026.78728.3015.517.41720181.100.983029.45730.2815.520.1220191.101.083032.40732.40中中兴兴通通讯讯年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价PB主主营营增增长长00006320091.201.662236.5213.239.4636.13.6427919972.0420101.151.992243.8213.244.6738.80819983.126.320111.152.292250.4013.250.5719991.2920121.1

20、32.632257.9613.257.24国国外外业业务务比比例例50%。20001.7820131.132.982265.4913.264.80ROE较较低低20012.0620141.133.362274.0113.273.3516.739.90120021.1820151.133.802283.6313.283.0416.746.56420031.4620161.134.302294.5013.294.0016.754.3420041.4220171.134.8522106.7813.2106.4116.763.41520050.9520181.135.4822120.6613.2120

21、.4516.774.0120061.0720191.136.2022136.3513.2136.35H股股价价低低20071.51海普瑞002399年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价20101.493.023090.6018.8131.0212620111.404.4530133.5018.8155.66131.9220121.356.1330183.9018.8184.9220131.237.5430226.2018.8219.6820141.209.0530271.4418.8260.9820151.1810.6830

22、320.2918.8310.0520161.1512.2830368.3418.8368.34信信立立泰泰002294年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价20101.641.573554.951482.366420111.451.933567.551493.8966.8820121.352.603591.0014107.0420131.223.1735111.0214122.0220141.203.8135133.2214139.1120151.184.4935157.2014158.5820161.155.1735180.

23、7814180.78爱爱尔尔眼眼科科300015年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价PB20100.45352011.6.1220111.350.613521.261432.3231140.4520121.340.813528.491436.8432.39525.2420131.321.073537.611442.0028.6620141.231.323546.261447.8822.3020151.181.563554.591454.5820161.151.793562.771462.2220171.132.033570.

24、931470.93世世纪纪鼎鼎利利300050年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价2011.4.820101.7520111.061.863055.78765.8466.820121.102.053061.35770.4569.80620131.102.253067.49775.3820141.102.473074.24780.6620151.102.723081.66786.3120161.102.993089.83792.3520171.103.293098.81798.81汤汤臣臣倍倍健健300003年年度度成成长长性

25、性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价2011.6.1020101.12动动态态PE20111.201.342026.8818.153.5549.739.8439.8420121.502.022040.3218.163.2453.42826.5626.5620131.503.022060.4818.174.6917.7117.7120141.404.232084.6718.188.2112.6512.6520151.305.5020110.0718.1104.179.739.7320161.206.6020132.0918.1123.038.1

26、18.1120171.107.2620145.3018.1145.307.377.37乐乐普普医医疗疗300003年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价2011.6.1020100.51动动态态PE20111.300.663019.7317.521.602032.8432.8420121.250.823024.6717.525.3821.45826.2726.2720131.221.003030.0917.529.8221.5321.5320141.201.203036.1117.535.0417.9417.9420151.1

27、81.423042.6117.541.1715.2115.2120161.161.653049.4317.548.3813.1113.1120171.151.893056.8517.556.8511.4011.40鱼鱼跃跃医医疗疗002223年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价主业主业增长率2011.7.120101.600.40动动态态PE20111.450.583218.5619.526.3324.645.4045.40200838.6520121.450.843226.9119.531.4626.59931.3131.

28、31200934.0120131.401.183237.6819.537.6022.3622.36201064.3320141.251.473247.1019.544.9317.8917.8920151.211.783256.9919.553.6914.7914.7920161.172.083266.6719.564.1612.6412.6420171.152.403276.6719.576.6710.9910.99七七匹匹狼狼年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价00202920101.381.00动动态态PE2011.7.

29、120111.301.302228.601633.0431.825.4225.4220121.301.692237.181638.3333.9219.5519.5520131.252.112246.481644.4615.6415.6420141.182.492254.841651.5713.2513.2520151.162.892263.611659.8211.4311.4320161.143.302272.521669.4010.0210.0220171.113.662280.501680.509.039.03搜搜于于特特年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益

30、益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价00250320101.700.57动动态态PE2011.5.3020111.630.932220.3719.535.8233.138.6938.69发行价37.520121.501.392230.5519.542.8035.78925.7925.7920131.452.012244.3019.551.1517.7917.7920141.322.662258.4819.561.1313.4813.4820151.263.352273.6819.573.0510.7010.7020161.214.052289.1619.587.298.848.8420171

31、.174.7422104.3119.5104.317.557.55探探路路者者年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价30000520100.20动动态态PE2011.6.1020111.720.34227.571916.7115.148.5748.5720121.600.552212.111919.8816.29530.3530.3520131.560.862218.891923.6619.4619.4620141.401.202226.451928.1513.9013.9020151.301.562234.381933.50

32、10.6910.6920161.201.882241.261939.878.918.9120171.152.162247.441947.447.757.75富富安安娜娜年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价00215420100.95动动态态PE2011.6.1020111.371.302228.631242.194232.4132.41增持20121.281.672236.651247.2544.125.3225.3220131.302.172247.651252.9219.4819.4820141.182.562256.2

33、21259.2716.5116.5120151.162.962265.221266.3814.2314.2320161.143.382274.351274.3512.4812.4820171.123.782283.271283.2711.1511.15报报喜喜鸟鸟年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价00215420101.400.83动动态态PE2011.4.2320111.291.072223.5611.528.6227.826.7326.7320121.251.342229.4411.531.9129.13221.382

34、1.3820131.201.612235.3311.535.5817.8217.8220141.171.882241.3411.539.6715.2315.2320151.132.122246.7111.544.2313.4813.4820161.092.312250.9211.549.3212.3712.3720171.082.502254.9911.554.9911.4511.45桑桑德德环环境境年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价00082620100.50动动态态PE2011.6.1020111.400.703222

35、.441825.782436.7536.7520121.320.933229.631830.4225.827.8427.8420131.301.203238.521835.9021.4221.4220141.221.473246.991842.3617.5617.5620151.161.703254.511849.9815.1315.1320161.141.943262.141858.9813.2813.2820171.122.173269.591869.5911.8511.85维维尔尔利利年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价

36、价3001902010动动态态PE2011.6.1020111.401.563249.9219.555.5749.535.6235.6220121.382.153268.8919.566.4053.21325.8125.8120131.302.803289.5619.579.3519.8619.8620141.223.4132109.2619.594.8316.2816.2820151.163.9632126.7419.5113.3214.0314.0320161.144.5232144.4819.5135.4212.3112.3120171.125.0632161.8219.5161.821

37、0.9910.99碧碧水水源源300070年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价20101.651.20动动态态PE20111.451.743255.6816100.8610157.9757.9720121.402.443277.9516117.00105.5441.4041.4020131.373.3432106.7916135.7230.2230.2220141.304.3432138.8316157.4323.2523.2520151.255.4232173.5416182.6218.6018.6020161.206.5

38、132208.2516211.8415.5015.5020171.187.6832245.7316245.7313.1313.13苏苏宁宁电电器器苏苏宁宁电电器器0002024年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价P20100.57动动态态PE200446.2020111.180.682013.521113.131319.4119.41200520.0020121.150.782015.551114.5713.58516.8816.88200645.4020131.130.882017.571116.1714.9414.942

39、00771.8020141.120.982019.681117.9513.3413.34200817.9020151.101.082021.651119.9312.1312.13200920.7020161.081.172023.381122.1211.2311.23201013.1020171.051.232024.551124.5510.6910.69平均东东阿阿阿阿胶胶年年度度成成长长性性 预预测测EPS 平平均均PE 预测价格 收收益益率率 买买入入价价测测算算 现现价价P00042320101.480.89动动态态PE199911.9920111.501.342229.3712.54

40、9.564637.1237.12200015.8220121.361.822239.9412.555.7549.4527.2927.29200111.3620131.302.362251.9312.562.7221.0021.00200210.0220141.232.902263.8712.570.5617.0717.0720038.0120151.203.482276.6412.579.3814.2214.2220048.1020161.164.042288.9112.589.3012.2612.2620055.4120171.134.5722100.4612.5100.4610.8510.

41、85200613.69200732.56200813.50200926.15201051.10PEPSPEPB净资产增长总资产增长ROE200310.810.3927.7230.0027.9040.1716.720048.350.4618.1538.8321.3221.820056.580.3717.78213.3439.5628.0200616.360.4834.0813.9135.5810.8平均22.0014.3419.6212.218.1521.7715.1123.5927.2615.923.2540.3012.922.43.8013.4050.92PEPSPEPEPSPE199613

42、.10.4727.87199714.10.36638.5219988.40.39921.0519999.750.4223.21200013.990.47729.33200113.350.59222.5520029.650.60615.9220036.540.38816.8620045.260.38613.6320054.310.36311.87200615.440.49331.32PEPSPEPEPSPE200417.610.672426.19200515.480.5528.15200628.90.7837.05200759.821.346.02净净利利PEPSPE1.47200138.551

43、.3129.431.16200225.461.3718.581.31200325.41.9413.091.15200436.642.0917.531.56200545.622.3719.251.40200687.831.5955.241.36平均25.521.341.83PEPSPE净净利利200024.740.4950.491.38200118.450.6627.951.35200214.470.4333.650.65200311.300.4823.541.36200412.790.5025.431.35200522.430.7729.131.53200649.820.7566.431.42

44、200785.601.2170.741.43200848.501.7028.531.40200976.022.1435.521.261.27净净利利PEPSPE1.02 2004120.46425.861.62 20059.90.40824.261.03 2006140.3935.901.06 2007601.0955.051.492.68PEPSPE199812.200.25747.47199911.000.1861.11200017.800.26567.17200120.700.40451.24200217.300.50434.33200315.200.61224.84200415.600

45、.70922.00ROE保持20%以上历历史史增增长长不不太太稳稳定定研研发发能能力力强强200520.700.79526.04200624.900.5644.46200734.300.6850.44200834.100.9635.52464.6242.238净净利利PEPSPE1.05 2001170.38244.501.19 2002100.3132.261.27 20038.40.37122.641.24 200412.470.48125.930.97 200514.750.63623.191.20 2006320.4866.671.30 2007570.9659.381.32274.5

46、71.2739.222.00净净利利PEPSPE1.22 200415.60.6225.161.12 200513.250.6819.491.20 200617.480.5332.981.321.321.58净净利利PEPSPE1.00 1998300.9531.582.68 1999280.6145.900.67 2000380.8644.191.67 2001230.9424.471.61 200213113.000.99 2003181.12815.961.33 2004261.0524.761.34 2005271.2421.771.18 2006390.848.750.68 2007

47、601.346.151.55具具有有强强大大的的研研发发和和销销售售能能力力1.40100.320.9127.7360.7836.7770.9922.555鱼跃医疗主业增长率PEPSPE200823.890.6636.2038.65200934.230.4183.4934.01201050.390.6478.7364.33PEPSPE20049.20.3427.0620056.10.3219.06200619.80.3066.00200727.060.5252.04200810.520.5419.48200923.120.7232.11201033.041.0033.04平均35.54EPSP

48、E主营收入g 主营利润g1.9523.691.0519.050.5484.071.0270.390.7424.190.4348.140.5722.9841.79EPSPE主营收入g净利润增长0.3237.4720011.071.300.4039.5520021.260.790.4028.4020031.311.120.3231.3120041.181.360.3622.2520051.060.830.3225.3120061.141.400.2720.0420070.2848.2020080.3983.4920090.5524.5520100.6838.46苏苏宁宁电电器器0.8957.42交

49、交通通银银行行 PEPSPE每股净资产 PB200715.620.4336.3320084.740.588.173.721.2720099.350.5915.853.822.4520105.480.737.513.961.3820115.956.304.201.42民民生生银银行行 PEPSPE每股净资产 PB200017.220.2568.88200114.510.2950.0320029.190.3427.0320039.450.3824.8720045.440.3913.9520054.060.3710.97200610.200.3132.90200714.820.4830.882008

50、4.070.429.694.310.9420097.910.5115.513.752.1120105.020.667.613.901.2920116.156.604.131.49招招商商银银行行 PEPSPE每股净资产 PB20028.140.3027.13#DIV/0!200310.810.3927.72#DIV/0!20048.350.4618.15#DIV/0!20056.580.3717.78#DIV/0!200616.360.5330.87#DIV/0!200739.631.0438.11#DIV/0!200812.161.1011.055.722.13200918.050.9519