2023年青海大学英语考试真题卷(3).docx
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1、2023年青海大学英语考试真题卷(3)本卷共分为1大题50小题,作答时间为180分钟,总分100分,60分及格。一、单项选择题(共50题,每题2分。每题的备选项中,只有一个最符合题意) 1.Nearly two thousand years have passed since a census decreed by Caesar Augustus became part of the greatest story ever told. Many things have changed in the intervening years. The hotel industry worries mo
2、re about overbuilding than overcrowding, and if they had to meet an unexpected influx, few inns would have a manager to accommodate the weary guests. Now it is the census taker that does the traveling in the fond hope that a highly mobile population will stay put long enough to get a good sampling.
3、Methods of gathering, recording, and evaluating information have probably been improved a great deal. And where then it was the modest purpose of Rome to obtain a simple head count as an adequate basis for levying taxes, now batteries of complicated statistical series furnished by governmental agenc
4、ies and private organizations are eagerly scanned and interpreted by sages and prophets to get a clue to future events. The Bible does not tell us how the Roman census takers made out, and as regards our more immediate concern, the reliability of present economic forecasting, there are considerable
5、differences of opinion. They were aired at the celebration of the 125th anniversary of the American Statistical Association. There was the thought that business forecasting might well be on its way from an art to a science, and some speakers talked about newfangled(新花样的)computers and complicated mat
6、hematical systems in terms of excitement and endearment which we, at least in our younger years when these things mattered, would have associate more readily with the description of a fair maiden. But others pointed to the deplorable(可叹的) very bad record of highly esteemed forecasts and forecaster w
7、ith a batting average below that of the Nets, and the President elect of the Association cautioned that high powered statistical methods are usually in order where the facts are crude and inadequate, the exact contrary of that crude and inadequate statisticians assume. We left somewhere between hope
8、 and despair and with the conviction, not really newly acquired that proper statistical methods applied to ascertainable facts have their merits in economic forecasting as long as neither forecaster nor public is induced into mistaking the description of probabilities and trends for a prediction of
9、certainties of mathematical attitude.The authors tone can best be described as _.AjocularBscornfulCpessimisticDobjective 2.Could the bad old days of economic decline be about to return Since OPEC agreed to supply cuts in March, the price of crude oil has jumped to almost $26 a barrel, up from less t
10、han $10 last DecemberThis near tripling of oil prices calls up scary memories ofthe 1973 oil shock, when prices quadrupled, and 19791980, when they also almost tripledBoth previous shocks resulted in double digit inflation and global economic declineSo where are the headlines warning of gloom and do
11、om this time The oil price was given another push up this week when Iraq suspended oil exportsStrengthening economic growth, at the same time as winter grips the noheru hemisphere, could push the price higher still in the short term Yet there are good reasons to expect the economic consequences now
12、to be less severe than in the 1970s. In most countries the cost of crude oil now accounts for a smaller share of the price of petrol than it did in the 1970s. In Europe, taxes account for up to four fifths of the retail price, so even quite big changes in the price of crude have a more muted effect
13、on pump prices than in the past. Rich economies are also less dependent on oil than they were, and so less sensitive to swings in the oil price. Energy conservation, a shift to other fuels and a decline in the importance of heavy, energy intensive industries have reduced oil consumption. Software, c
14、onsultancy and mobile telephones use far less oil than steel of car production. For each dollar of GDP (in constant prices) rich economies now use nearly 50% less oil than in 1973. The OECD estimates in its latest Economic Outlook that, if oil prices averaged $22 a barrel for a full year, compared w
15、ith $13 in 1998, this would increase the oil import bill in rich economies by only 0.25-0.5% of GDP. That is less than one quarter of the income loss in 1974 or 1980. On the other hand, oil importing emerging economies-to which heavy industry has shifted-has become more energy intensive, and so coul
16、d be more seriously squeezed. One more reason not to lose sleep over the rise in oil prices is that, unlike the rises in the 1970s, it has not occurred against the background of general commodity price inflation and global excess demand. A sizable portion of the world is only just emerging from econ
17、omic decline. The Economists commodity price index is broadly unchanging from a year ago. In 1973 commodity prices jumped by 70% and in 1979 by almost 30%.The main reason for the latest rise ofoil price is _.Aglobal inflationBreduction in supplyCfast growth in economyDIraqs suspension of exports 3.N
18、ext time youre out shopping, the person standing behind you in line might just be getting a better deal than you. And yes, theyre speaking with an accent. Thanks to a massive drop in the dolla_rs value against the euro and pound sterling (英国货币) many people from across the pond are heading to the Uni
19、ted States to snap up holiday bargains that they quite simply cant find in their home countries. Even with the expense of flying over and staying in a hotel, theyre grabbing gifts at what they consider rock-bottom prices. Right now, every pound gets you two U.S. greenbacks and the euro is near two-y
20、ear highs against the dollar. As the euro gets stronger and the holidays approach, we are seeing an upswing in the number of visitors frorn overseas, said Dan Jasper, director of public relations for the Mall of America. And why not, when you consider how good the currency imbalance is treating them
21、. For example, an iPod Nano, which costs 169 pounds in London (approximately $330 based on todays exchange rate) rings up for just $249 at the Mall of Americas Apple Store. And unlike most European nations, Minnesota has no sales tax. Just that one purchase would save a savvy British shopper more th
22、an a hundred dollars. If they do all their holiday seasonal shopping, they could easily save enough cash to pay for a round-trip ticket and weekend hotel stay. Jasper says that about 6 percent of the super-malls traffic comes from overseas visitors. They even have a tourist department that works wit
23、h air carriers and hotels to build cheap shopping tour packages. I spoke with a woman from Iceland who came over and bought $600 worth of goods and essentially made money on her trip, said Jasper. She made enough in savings to pay for the airfare and hotel and still got all the goods that she wanted
24、 to get. So for her it was an adventure, plus she came out ahead. But its not just American shopping theme parks like Mall of America that are cashing in on the jet-setting deal hounds. Cities that are traditional entry points for foreign travelers-like New York, Chicago and San Francisco-are enjoyi
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