预测决策理论与方法教学大纲（秋）简介英文版.docx

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1、Introduction ofForecasting and Decision-making Theory andMethodsCourse Name： Forecasting and decision-making theory and methodsCourse Code：Credits： 3Total Credit Hours： 48Lecture Hours： 48 Experiment Hours： 0Programming Hours： 0Practice Hours： 0Total Number of Experimental (Programming) ProjectsO, W

2、here, Compulsory ( 0 ), Optional ( 0 ).School ： School of BusinessTarget Major： Industrial EngineeringCourse Nature & AimsCourse Nature: Forecasting and decision-making theory and methods is a main course of management science and an important elective course fbr related majors. It is an important b

3、asic course that allows students to systematically master the concepts, knowledge, theories and basic techniques of predictive decision-making. Use the forecasting and decision-making methods and technical analysis to solve practical problems and to cultivate students1 thinking and ability in scient

4、ific prediction and decision-making.Course purpose: Through the study of this course, students can understand the concept, function and meaning of forecasting, systematically master commonly used forecasting methods and technologies, and be able to apply the forecasting methods learned in conjunctio

5、n with actual problems to perform forecasting analysis to provide support for scientific decision making Students understand the concepts, procedures and basic steps of decision-making, systematically master common decision-making methods, and can apply the learned decision-making methods to make de

6、cision analysis. In view of the characteristics of the forecasting and decision-making course, pay attention to the cultivation of students scientific decision-making thinking in the teaching process, emphasizing the combination of theoretical learning and applied practice, focusing on the combinati

7、on of qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis, fbr students* subsequent learning, practice and future work Lay a good foundation for development.Teaching MethodClassroom teaching: The teaching of this lesson is mainly based on the teachers classroom teaching. The teaching process uses blackbo

8、ard writing and multimedia teaching, strengthens teacher-student interaction, and focuses on heuristic teaching.Seminar teaching: According to the specific teaching content, carry out appropriate seminar activities. Teachers provide discussion questions, and students prepare in class after the class

9、, and then conduct class discussions in order to improve the teamwork ability of the students.Heuristic teaching: teaching important questions, analyzing problems, and solving problems, subtly training students corresponding abilities; emphasizing the importance of practical experience and learning

10、in practice.Course ResourcesTextbooks；Liu Sifeng, Jian Lirong, Mi Chuanmin. Management Forecast and Decision Method (Third Edition) M.Beijing: Science Press, 2018.Bibliography：1 . Liu Sifeng. Forecasting Methods and Technology M. Beijing: Higher Education Press, 2009.2 .Xu Guoxiang. Statistical Fore

11、casting and Decision Making (Fourth Edition) M. Shanghai: ShanghaiUniversity of Finance and Economics Press, 2012.NotesPrerequisites:Follow-up Courses: NoContents and Requirements of Students Self-study: NoBilingual Teaching or Not: NoRequirements and Proportion of Bilingual leaching: NoDiscipline and Considerations of Practice Session: no practice sessionNotes: NoAuthor：Approved by：