早期乳腺癌辅助化疗进展中国医学科学院肿瘤医院徐兵河.ppt
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1、早期乳腺癌辅助化疗进展中国医学科学院肿瘤医院 徐兵河Breast Cancer Incidence Trends Over TimeCancer Incidence Trends in China 2005 2015 Cancer Incidence Trends in China 2005 2015 Incidence Rates Projection by Cancer Type Incidence Rates Projection by Cancer TypePer 100,000 CAGR 2.98%CAGR 4.5%CAGR 0.65%CAGR 2.35%CAGR 0.99%CAGR
2、 2.60%Source:Estimates of Cancer Incidence in China for 2000 and Projections for 2005,Yang L,et al.中国乳腺癌发病概况v 每年约有19 万新发乳腺癌病例 2002 年全国乳腺癌年龄标化发病率:18.7/100,000;死亡率:5.5/100,000v 发病率:城市农村v 高发年龄段:45 50 岁近15年来乳腺癌发病率上升死亡率下降死亡率下降的原因v 早期诊断 v 综合治疗The benefits of chemotherapy data from clinical trailsn Early B
3、reast Cancer Trialists Collaborative Group(EBCTCG).194 randomised trials of adjuvant chemotherapy(CMF,CAF,CEF)or hormonal therapy(TAM)that began by 1995.Lancet 2005Placebo53.3%37.147.90102030405060Time(years)0 5 15 10Recurrence(%)15-year gain 12.3%(SE 1.6)Log-rank 2p0.0000115-year probabilities of r
4、ecurrence in women aged 50 years,with/without polychemotherapyPolychemotherapy41.1%35.524.6Younger women,35%node-positive;older women,70%node-positive;SE=standard error EBCTCG.Lancet 2005;365:1687-1717Placebo42.4%20.435.00102030405060 Breastcancermortality(%)15-year gain 10.0%(SE 1.6)Log-rank 2p0.00
5、001Polychemotherapy32.4%Time(years)0 5 15 1015.727.115-year probabilities of breast cancer mortality in women aged 50 years,with/without polychemotherapyEBCTCG.Lancet 2005;365:1687-1717Younger women,35%node-positive;older women,70%node-positive010203040506015-year gain 4.1%(SE 1.2)Log-rank 2p0.00001
6、Placebo57.6%Polychemotherapy53.4%48.80 5 15 1035.4 44.129.415-year probabilities of recurrence in women aged 50-69 years,with/without polychemotherapyTime(years)EBCTCG.Lancet 2005;365:1687-1717Recurrence(%)Younger women,35%node-positive;older women,70%node-positivePlacebo50.4%21.338.3010203040506015
7、-year gain 3.0%(SE 1.3)Log-rank 2p0.00001Polychemotherapy47.4%18.70 5 15 1035.415-year probabilities of breast cancer mortality in women aged 50-69 years,with/without polychemotherapyTime(years)Younger women,35%node-positive;older women,70%node-positive EBCTCG.Lancet 2005;365:1687-1717Breastcancermo
8、rtality(%)Placebo45.0%38.326.5010203040506015-year gain 11.8%(SE 1.3)Log-rank 2p0.0000115-year probabilities of 15-year probabilities of recurrence recurrence in women in women with ER+(or ER-unknown)disease,with ER+(or ER-unknown)disease,with/without 5 years with/without 5 years tamoxifentamoxifenA
9、bout 5 years tamoxifen33.2%Time(years)0 5 15 1015.124.7ER=oestrogen receptor;10,386 women:20%ER-unknown,30%node-positive EBCTCG.Lancet 2005;365:1687-1717Recurrence(%)010203040506015-year gain 9.2%(SE 1.2)Log-rank 2p0.00001Placebo34.8%About 5 years tamoxifen25.6%25.70 5 15 1011.98.317.815-year probab
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- 早期 乳腺癌 辅助 化疗 进展 中国医学科学院 肿瘤医院 徐兵河
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