《大健康产业专题研究.pdf》由会员分享,可在线阅读,更多相关《大健康产业专题研究.pdf(50页珍藏版)》请在淘文阁 - 分享文档赚钱的网站上搜索。
1、?2?34?6?-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%195319571961196519691973197719811985198919931997200120052009GDP?%)?5.7%10.8%15.6%15.4%17.5%14.3%11.3%5.9%3.5%0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%18%20%0-4?5-14?15-24?25-34?35-44?45-54?55-64?65-74?75?010203040506019701973197619791982198519881991199419972000200320062009?0%20%40%60%80%
2、1949195319571961196519691973197719811985198919931997200120052009Jun-13?7?2392551571067353170355461525531607684756822010020030040050060070080090020052010E2015E2020E2025E?US$53900?US$21501-53900?US$13500-21501?US$135008?0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.3 3.8 4.0 4.
3、3 0246810121419501955196019651970197519801985199019952000200520102015E2020E2025E2030E2035E2040E2045E2050E0-14?15-64?65?9?0%10%20%30%40%50%60%?40-49?50-59?60-69?70-79?80-89?10?11?12?13?1114.917.219.825.729.82930.131.534.436.336.237.205101520253035401999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011
4、?21038659037561882172014111065901885761965190410000500010000150002000025000?2011?2011?14?15?16?17?18?19?20?21?22?CAGR=14%CAGR=13%CAGR=18%?0.2?0.5?23?24?37%?41%?13%?6%?2%?1%46450030000500100015002000250030003500201220132020E?25?12326?13227?28?29?30?213?31?32?33?34?90%6%4%?53%22%25%?2829303020.5600102
5、03040506070?35?36?37?38?39?404.89120246810122001-20062008-20102011-2015?18%18%7%4%4%4%3%2%3%5%32%?41?13713171920203128525033485133910111113191312161833232124224%2%3%3%4%3%3%5%4%8%7%5%6%7%4%0102030405060200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016?0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%8%9%?0%10%20%30%40%50
6、%60%70%80%90%100%199920002001200220032004200520062007?42?43?05001000150020002500300035002007?1?2007?5?2007?9?2008?1?2008?5?2008?9?2009?1?2009?5?2009?9?2010?1?2010?5?2010?9?2011?1?2011?5?2011?9?2012?1?2012?5?2012?9?2013?1?2013?5?2013?9?2014?1?2014?5?2014?9?200?2007.01-2014.10)?44?-100.0 200.0 300.0 4
7、00.0 500.0 600.0 700.0 800.0 900.02000-012000-112001-092002-072003-052004-032005-012005-112006-092007-072008-052009-032010-012010-112011-092012-072013-052014-03?/?45?-100%-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%350%2004200520062007200820092010201120122013?4616%35%21%24%20%04080120160200420052006200720082009?0%
8、5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%?YOY14%30%39%16%16%17%13%12%11%01002003004002004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E2011E2012E2013E?0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%?YOY?470100020003000400050002001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011?480%20%40%60%80%100%20022003200420052006200720082009?0%20%40%60%80%100%
9、20022003200420052006200720082009?0100200300400500600700800900200220032004200520062007200820090%5%10%15%20%25%?(?:?)?GDP?49?01002003004005006002001200220032004200520062007200820090%5%10%15%20%25%?2003-2010?02040608010012014016020032004200520062007200820092010CAGR=31.4%?50?050100150200250200620072008200920102011E2012E10%15%20%25%30%35%?0501001502002502006200720082009201010%15%20%25%30%35%?2008?38%?34%?22%?4%?2%?
限制150内